Global Views Survey Research Center (Signing of an ECFA and cross-Strait exchanges, views on reunification and independence, President Ma’s approval ratings)

Global Views Survey Research Center

(December 21, 2009)

Survey: Signing of an ECFA and cross-Strait exchanges, views on reunification and independence, President Ma’s approval ratings

1.      Do you think signing a cross-Strait ECFA is important to Taiwan’s economy?

Yes	54.4%
No	19.2%
No opinion / Don’t know	26.4%

2.      Do you think that signing an ECFA with the Mainland is tantamount to reunifying with the Mainland under the PRC?

	March 2009	December 2009
Yes	25.7%	30.7%
No	60.4%	49.0%
No opinion / Don’t know	13.9%	20.3%

3.      Do you think that the government would minimize the negative impact and protect people’s rights when signing an ECFA with the Mainland?

Yes	28.1%
No	55.3%
No opinion / Don’t know	16.6%

4.      For Taiwan’s economy to improve, do you think cross-Strait economic exchanges should increase or decrease?

	March 2009	September 2009	December 2009
Increase	51.7%	55.8%	44.6%
Decrease	29.0%	24.5%	27.8%
No opinion / Don’t know	19.3%	20.2%	27.6%

5.      Do you think the DPP supports increasing the scale of cross-Strait exchanges?

	November 2008	December 2009
Yes	10.6%	17.9%
No	68.5%	59.8%
No opinion / Don’t know	20.9%	22.3%

6.      If DPP increased its cross-Strait exchanges with the Mainland, do you think it would help Taiwan in striving for its overall interests?

Yes	49.1%
No	32.4%
No opinion / Don’t know	18.5%

7.      Over the next two years, do you think that the DPP needs to adjust its Mainland policy and the way they deal with the Mainland?

More open	51.2%
More conservative	11.9%
No need to change	8.6%
No opinion / Don’t know	28.3%

8.      What is your current stance on reunification versus independence?

Maintain the status quo for now, then see what happens later	42.5%
Support Taiwan independence	23.9%
Maintain the status quo forever	7.6%
Reunify with Mainland China	7.4%
Decline to respond	18.69%

9.      Do you think that both sides of the Strait should reunify in the end?

	Yes	No	Don’t know / No opinion
February 2006	28.7%	54.5%	16.8%
September 2008	19.5%	67.5%	13%
May 2009	16.2%	69.0%	14.8%
October 2009	15.7%	69.0%	15.3%
December 2009	18.9%	54.7%	26.3%

10. Do you think that Taiwan should become independent in the end?

	Yes	No	Don’t know / No opinion
February 2006	44.3%	40.3%	15.4%
September 2008	50.6%	34.1%	15.3%
May 2009	48.5%	35.0%	16.5%
October 2009	47.2%	34.1%	18.7%
December 2009	42.1%	30.2%	27.7%

11. President Ma Ying-jeou’s approval and trust ratings (2009):

Date	Satisfied	Dissatisfied
January	28.7%	57.3%
February	34.5%	54.8%
March	28.6%	58.3%
April	32.8%	57.6%
May	38.9%	48.6%
June	40.7%	46.1%
July	35.5%	52.3%
August	21.5%	59.6%
September	28.2%	59.6%
October	29.5%	58.6%
November	28.3%	61.0%
December	23.5%	62.2%

Date	Trust	Distrust
January	44.5%	39.9%
February	48.7%	36.5%
March	45%	40.2%
April	49.6%	35.2%
May	50.3%	33.9%
June	45.4%	38.0%
July	45.2%	39.1%
August	36.9%	47.2%
September	44.8%	41.6%
October	41.8%	42.4%
November	38.6%	44.6%
December	38.0%	46.4%

12. If you were to vote again in a Presidential election now, would you vote for KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou or the DPP?

KMT’s Ma Ying-jeou	39.8%
DPP	28.4%
Don’t know / No opinion	31.8%

13. Figures showing satisfaction ratings of the KMT legislators in the Legislative Yuan (2009):

Date	Satisfied	Dissatisfied
January	22.2%	57.8%
February	28.0%	56.9%
March	19.9%	61.5%
April	23.8%	58.7%
May	27.0%	56.5%
June	23.1%	58.1%
July	22.7%	59.1%
August	21.5%	59.6%
September	25.8%	56.8%
October	21.9%	58.5%
November	25.9%	57.2%
December	20.3%	59.8%

Note: This poll was conducted from 18:20 pm to 22:00 pm between December 14 and 16 with 1,022 people over 20 years of age surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.1 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

Source: Global Views Magazine Public Opinion Poll Center

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